tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post3479065143450561818..comments2024-03-11T07:06:28.190-07:00Comments on Mobile Opportunity: Why Trump Won: Fairness and ChangeMichael Macehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17966107280587843091noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post-26634920217076671712017-01-12T11:12:00.928-08:002017-01-12T11:12:00.928-08:00I hadn't seen my morning Word.A.Day when posti...I hadn't seen my morning Word.A.Day when posting earlier, but I'll just add this:<br /><br /><b>A THOUGHT FOR TODAY:</b><br /><i>The people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same way in any country.</i>—Hermann Göring, Nazi military leader (12 Jan 1893-1946) WaltFrenchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03796601244294381938noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post-40109014812900062952017-01-12T11:06:03.043-08:002017-01-12T11:06:03.043-08:00The big concerns you ID'd — fairness & cha...The big concerns you ID'd — fairness & change, medical costs — are EXTREMELY malleable by the political process. For example, the GOP (I saw a Tom Cotton op-ed explicitly) claims that wages for the working class have been depressed by immigrants taking all the jobs. Mathematically, this is essentially impossible; the gains in pay+welfare to the lowest quartile of society are utterly dwarfed by the 600%+ gains over several decades that (we!) 1%ers have enjoyed. <br /><br />I don't doubt the sincerity of the Trump voters, but as recent Senate actions to kill Obamacare and even the CHIP kids' health provisions show, they voted in a government committed to cutting back the only gains that the working class has made. (The bottom half of Americans have made zero gains in direct income over the last few decades, but expanded Medicaid & other non-income “transfers” have kept them from sinking faster in their relative share of the American Dream.<br /><br />I.e., demagoguery is alive and well in America. Your finding of “fairness,” while literally true, may be reversed sharply unless Mr Trump can justify a sharp rollback in actuality for his voters. And regards “change,” it's worth noting that Democrats gained seats in both houses of Congress AND neither popular votes for the Presidency or Congress shows a dramatic “throw the bums out” mode. As usual, the opposite.<br /><br />Your follow-up might want to identify responses in terms of the quality & specifics of the campaigns' messages, and the exceptional news that occurred in the time frames, rather than some inherent set of beliefs by an angry minority (!) of voters.WaltFrenchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03796601244294381938noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post-78434954056583151242016-12-06T13:51:35.721-08:002016-12-06T13:51:35.721-08:00It is difficult not to vent when you personally me...It is difficult not to vent when you personally meet the reality of war. And outside of the US this is what we know Hillary for.Josenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post-23774074062335571992016-12-06T07:58:43.255-08:002016-12-06T07:58:43.255-08:00Jose, thanks for your comment. I am sure it was ve...Jose, thanks for your comment. I am sure it was very sincere, but to me you were venting, and I asked folks not to do that.Michael Macehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17966107280587843091noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post-88100557680869143792016-12-06T06:36:05.665-08:002016-12-06T06:36:05.665-08:00This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.Josenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post-15811207526854538832016-12-05T19:57:35.625-08:002016-12-05T19:57:35.625-08:00Thanks, Flash. You make a good point -- we need bo...Thanks, Flash. You make a good point -- we need both the numbers and the thinking that explains them (what the researchers call the quantitative and qualitative). I'm just kind of burned out on the numbers at the moment.Michael Macehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17966107280587843091noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17898384.post-7825331624681079722016-12-05T09:19:21.168-08:002016-12-05T09:19:21.168-08:00Thanks for posting this; I agree that it’s importa...Thanks for posting this; I agree that it’s important to listen to people different from us. A minor nit about statistics: I really _do_ want another statistically significant survey, but without groupthink and moderator bias. Your research is definitely a step towards better understanding, but the two are orthogonal and we need both. Flash Sheridanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13677318551997068520noreply@blogger.com